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Futures tracking the S&P/TSX Composite index were muted on Tuesday, holding the positive session that lifted the index to a record high of 32,875 yesterday with support from resource-linked stocks. Oil majors were supported by another positive session for benchmark crude oil prices amid lingering concerns that geopolitical unrest in Iran could limit supply from the key region. Additionally, markets maintained some skepticism over the magnitude of competition that Venezuelan oil may impose on Canadian energy exports as oil producers and refiners from the US voiced their concerns and hesitance over risking their capital on new Venezuelan territory. In turn, gold miners were muted as gold prices held their records.

Canadian Futures Hold Records on Oil Support

US stock futures fluctuated between modest gains and losses on Tuesday as the earnings season began and traders awaited the December CPI report. JPMorgan shares rose about 1.2% in premarket trading after the bank’s earnings and revenue exceeded estimates, while Bank of New York Mellon fell 0.5% as its results failed to impress investors. Delta Air Lines plunged nearly 6% after forecasting adjusted earnings per share of $6.50–$7.50 for the year, below analysts’ estimate of $7.25. Meanwhile, the December CPI report is expected to show a slight uptick in inflation, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady this month. Investors are currently pricing in two quarter-point rate cuts this year, with the first anticipated in June.

US Futures Waver as Earnings, CPI in Focus

Heating Oil increased to 2.20 USD/Gal, the highest since December 2025. Over the past 4 weeks, Heating Oil gained 0.57%, and in the last 12 months, it decreased 13.84%.

Heating Oil Hits 4-week High

The annual inflation rate eased to 3.5% in December 2025 from 3.8% in the previous month, marking the lowest level since March. The slowdown was driven by softer price growth in food and non-alcoholic beverages (4.2% vs 5.2% in November), alcohol and tobacco (0.2% vs 2.1%), and health care (2.5% vs 3.7%). Inflation also moderated in transport-related goods and services (0.6% vs 2.2%), restaurant and hotel services (4.2% vs 5.4%), and education (10.0% vs 10.8%). Meanwhile, price pressures picked up in housing and utilities (6.9% vs 6.2%), furnishings and household maintenance (2.3% vs -0.2%), recreation and culture (2.6% vs 2.0%), communication (2.8% vs 2.7%), clothing and footwear (2.0% vs 1.7%), and miscellaneous goods and services (4.0% vs 0.8%). On a monthly basis, consumer prices fell 0.1%, following a 0.3% decline in November.

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