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ユーロ圏欧州中央銀行（ECB）による金融アナリスト調査

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フランス3か月のBTFオークション

Brent crude oil futures rose more than 5% to $113.8 per barrel, reaching a new four-year high, following reports that two missiles struck a US warship after it ignored Iranian warnings. The IRGC Navy also released a new map, designating areas of the Strait of Hormuz under Iranian military control. The IRGC Navy said the zone spans key stretches between Iranian and UAE coastlines and warned it may act against vessels that violate its rules, heightening fears over shipping security.

Brent Hits New 4-Year High

Portugal’s industrial production rose 3.2% year-over-year in March 2026, rebounding from a revised 3.9% drop in February. This marks the fastest increase since August 2025, driven by gains in nearly all categories except energy. Consumer goods output climbed 3.6%, the first rise in four months, with durable goods up 4.3%, ending a 12-month decline, and non-durable goods up 3.4%. Intermediate goods surged 5.2% (after a 7.4% February fall), and capital goods jumped 6.4% following five months of declines. Energy output fell 4.6%, reversing double-digit growth from December to February. Month-over-month, production also rose 3.2%.

Portugal’s Industrial Output Growth Hits 7-Month High

WTI crude oil futures surged more than 4.5% to above $106 per barrel, following reports that two missiles struck a US warship after it ignored Iranian warnings. The IRGC Navy also released a new map, designating areas of the Strait of Hormuz under Iranian military control. The IRGC Navy said the zone spans key stretches between Iranian and UAE coastlines and warned it may act against vessels that violate its rules, heightening fears over shipping security. US Central Command said it would deploy additional support including destroyers, aircraft and drones, though reports suggest no immediate escort plan for commercial vessels. President Donald Trump has proposed guiding ships through the strait, but the plan has been met with skepticism from shipowners and firm resistance from Iran, which warned US forces could be targeted if they enter the waterway.

Oil Extends Gains

Moody’s Investors Service changed on May 4, 2026 Vietnam's sovereign credit rating outlook to 'positive' from 'stable' and affirmed the debt grade at 'Ba2'. The agency said the decision reflects rising confidence in Vietnam’s medium-term credit outlook, driven by governance improvements, structural reforms since late 2024, and strengthening competitiveness through digitalization, infrastructure, skills and capital market development. It also cited reduced trade risks and resilient growth with strong FDI inflows supporting Vietnam’s role in global supply chains. The current Ba2 rating underscores strong growth prospects and macro stability, underpinned by low, stable debt and strong affordability, though vulnerabilities in banking, property and institutions remain. Standard & Poor's credit rating for Vietnam stands at BB+ with stable outlook.

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