ユーロ圏ECBレーンでの講演

カナダ住宅着工件数

アメリカADP雇用変動週報

アメリカニューヨーク連銀サービス業活動指数

South Africa’s 10-year government bond yield rose further to around 8.72%, the highest since late July, amid renewed pressure across global markets. Growing doubts over a quick resolution to the Middle East conflict lifted oil prices and reignited concerns about persistent inflation. The risk of further escalation and a prolonged war kept investors cautious, despite easing expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate hikes. Domestically, investors awaited July inflation data due on August 19 for clues on the outlook for interest rates. Headline inflation is expected to ease to around 4.5% from 5.0% in June, helped by lower fuel and transport costs after the sharp increase seen in the previous month. A moderation in inflation toward 4.5% would reduce the likelihood of further monetary tightening, while keeping expectations for near-term rate cuts contained.

South Africa 10-Year Bond Yield at Over 2-Week High

Portugal’s industrial producer inflation accelerated to 5.8% year-on-year in July 2026, the highest level since February 2023, up from an upwardly revised 5.1% in June. The acceleration was mainly driven by stronger price growth for energy goods, remaining elevated at 15.8% after a 12.7% rise in the prior month, non-durable consumer goods (1.9% vs 1.3%), intermediate goods (6.5% vs 6.3%), and capital goods (2.3% vs 2.2%). By sector, price growth rebounded sharply in utilities to 8.1%, following a 1.7% decline in June, while easing in mining (73% vs 74.3%), although remaining elevated, and manufacturing (4.8% vs 4.9%). On a monthly basis, producer prices rose 0.8%, slowing from an upwardly revised 0.9% increase in June.

Portugal Producer Inflation Highest Since 2023

Mongolia’s economy expanded 7.7% in the first half of 2026 compared to the same period a year earlier. The expansion was driven mainly by strong growth in mining and quarrying (31.5%) and agriculture (11.3%). Meanwhile, services (3.8%) and manufacturing and construction (4.1%) recorded more modest growth. On the expenditure side, total capital accumulation declined 14.5%, largely due to a 38.6% drop in changes in tangible working capital. Government spending increased 4.2%, while household consumption edged up 0.5%. On a seasonally adjusted quarterly basis, the economy grew 1.4% in Q2 2026, slowing from a 3.1% expansion in the previous quarter.

Mongolia Economy Expands 7.7% in H1 2026

The South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry (SACCI) business confidence index rose to 125.4 in July 2026, the highest reading since March, up from 123.5 in the prior month. Higher new vehicle sales, stronger merchandise export volumes and lower energy prices supported the improvement, while higher inflation weighed on business confidence. Sacci added that the number of foreign travellers to South Africa remained a positive factor despite short-term instability linked to the Middle East conflict.

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